NCAAB
Southern Utah
3-0
High Point
3-0
Win Probability
Southern Utah travels to High Point, where the simulation strongly favors the home Panthers. High Point sits 3-0 and projects to dominate a Southern Utah side that will struggle to keep pace. The outcome hinges on Southern Utah's ability to score; the projection of 68 points for the visitors sits near the floor of what competitive teams manage. In 607 games where AccuScore favored one side this decisively, that side won 97% of the time. For Southern Utah to pull off the upset, it would need to exceed its projected output significantly and force High Point into an uncharacteristically poor shooting night.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | HPU | EV | SUU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -3200 | -2.6% | +1400 | +10.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -4500 | -3.0% | +1600 | +18.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -5000 | -3.1% | +1400 | +10.0% |
| Caesars ↗ | -4000 | -2.9% | +1450 | +12.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -4000 | -2.9% | +1800 | +26.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | +4.1% | -110 | -8.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | +8.5% | -110 | -13.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 149.5 | -110 | +6.5% | -110 | -11.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | +8.5% | -110 | -13.1% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | +4.1% | -110 | -8.7% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes High Point 92% to beat Southern Utah (8%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes High Point the more likely winner at 92%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives High Point a 92% chance of beating Southern Utah, against 8% for Southern Utah. High Point are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Southern Utah project to finish 17.2–11.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 23% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
High Point (3-0 so far) project to finish 23.8–6.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 54% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Utah | 17.2–11.8 | 30% | 23% |
| High Point | 23.8–6.2 | 65% | 54% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Southern Utah and High Point come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
High Point have won 3 of their last 3 (W-W-W, most recent first).