DePaul
3-0
Northwestern
3-0
Win Probability
Two undefeated teams meet in Evanston as DePaul travels to Northwestern, with the simulation favoring the hosts slightly. The game projects as a low-scoring affair that hinges on perimeter execution; DePaul's three-point shooting will need to click for the visitors to overcome playing on the road. In games where the model has leaned this moderately toward the home team, that side won 57% of 6,732 graded contests. For Northwestern to pull away, it will need to contain DePaul's outside threats and convert its own opportunities at a higher rate than the projection suggests.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | NU | EV | DEP | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -102 | +5.5% | -115 | -8.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +100 | +6.0% | -120 | -9.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -129 | -0.3% | -141 | -12.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 140.5 | -110 | -4.6% | -110 | +0.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 140.5 | -115 | -5.5% | -105 | +1.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 140.5 | -110 | -4.6% | -110 | +0.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 140.5 | -5429 | -25.8% | -5429 | -23.3% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 56.0%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Northwestern 56% to beat DePaul (44%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Northwestern the more likely winner at 56%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Northwestern a 56% chance of beating DePaul, against 44% for DePaul. Northwestern are at home and favoured on these numbers.
DePaul (3-0 so far) project to finish 14.9–17.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 17% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Northwestern (3-0 so far) project to finish 17.2–14.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 39% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| DePaul | 14.9–17.1 | 1% | 17% |
| Northwestern | 17.2–14.8 | 1% | 39% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How DePaul and Northwestern come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
DePaul have won 3 of their last 3 (W-W-W, most recent first).
Northwestern have won 3 of their last 3 (W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 6 times since 2013: DePaul 1, Northwestern 5. The last meeting, on Nov 13, 2025, finished Northwestern 81, DePaul 79.