#12Arizona
2-1
Auburn
2-0
Win Probability
Arizona travels to Auburn in a contest the simulation slightly favors the Tigers. The teams project to trade baskets in a tight affair that hinges on three-point shooting: Arizona's Kerr Kriisa has a 58% chance to make at least three from distance, while Auburn's Johni Broome projects a 64% chance at four made field goals. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's favored side has won 57% of the time across 6,732 graded matchups. For Arizona to pull the upset, the Wildcats would need to limit Auburn's three-point attempts while staying ahead in bench scoring.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | AUB | EV | ARIZ | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -110 | +1.8% | -110 | -6.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -115 | +0.8% | -105 | -5.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -271 | -12.8% | -129 | -9.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 157.5 | -110 | +0.3% | -110 | -4.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 157.5 | -110 | +0.3% | -110 | -4.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 157.5 | -110 | +0.3% | -110 | -4.8% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 54.3%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Auburn 54% to beat Arizona (46%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Auburn the more likely winner at 54%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Auburn a 54% chance of beating Arizona, against 46% for Arizona. Auburn are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Arizona (2-1 so far) project to finish 20.9–9.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 91% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Auburn (2-0 so far) project to finish 19.9–10.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 77% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Arizona and Auburn come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met 2 times since 2018: Arizona 1, Auburn 1. The last meeting, on Dec 5, 2025, finished Auburn 68, Arizona 97.