NCAAB
Yale
1-2
Northeastern
1-2
Win Probability
Yale travels to Northeastern in a matchup between two evenly matched teams both sitting at 1-2. The simulation favors Yale clearly, projecting a close contest decided by perimeter shooting and ball security. Yale's guards will need to execute at a high level; historically, when AccuScore has leaned this strongly toward a visitor, that side won 68% of comparable games. For Northeastern to pull the upset at home, its defense would need to force turnovers and keep Yale's outside threats in check, as the simulation expects the game to come down to which team controls the tempo and takes care of the basketball.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | NE | EV | YALE | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +102 | -9.7% | -122 | +4.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +102 | -9.7% | -122 | +4.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +100 | -10.1% | -120 | +5.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -125 | -14.1% | -152 | -0.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 154.5 | -110 | +2.3% | -110 | -6.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 153.5 | -115 | +3.7% | -105 | -8.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 154.5 | -110 | +2.3% | -110 | -6.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 154 | -110 | +3.6% | -110 | -8.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 153.5 | -505 | -15.6% | -299 | -21.6% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 60.1%
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AccuScore's simulation makes Yale 60% to beat Northeastern (40%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Yale the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Northeastern a 40% chance of beating Yale, against 60% for Yale. Northeastern are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Yale (1-2 so far) project to finish 15.6–10.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 32% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Northeastern (1-2 so far) project to finish 11.9–20.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yale | 15.6–10.4 | 38% | 32% |
| Northeastern | 11.9–20.1 | 3% | 3% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Yale and Northeastern come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Northeastern have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).