NCAAB
Chattanooga
1-2
Elon
2-1
Win Probability
Chattanooga travels to face Elon in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. The deciding factor is perimeter shooting: Elon's offense will need to sustain it, while Chattanooga's defense must tighten the three-point line to stay close. In games where the model has favored one side this strongly across different matchups, that side won 68% of the time. For Chattanooga to pull the upset, the Mocs would need to overcome Elon's home advantage and force a tight, low-scoring affair—a scenario the projections suggest is unlikely.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | ELON | EV | UTC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -166 | -0.9% | +140 | -3.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -162 | -0.4% | +134 | -4.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -170 | -1.3% | +140 | -3.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -197 | -3.8% | -125 | -15.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 150.5 | -105 | +3.3% | -115 | -7.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 151.5 | -110 | -0.3% | -110 | -4.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 149.5 | -115 | +3.3% | -105 | -8.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 151 | -110 | +1.0% | -110 | -5.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 151.5 | -443 | -18.1% | -299 | -18.0% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Elon 61% to beat Chattanooga (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Elon the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Elon a 61% chance of beating Chattanooga, against 39% for Chattanooga. Elon are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Chattanooga (0-2 so far) project to finish 14.4–14.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Elon (2-1 so far) project to finish 13.6–16.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga | 14.4–14.6 | 6% | 6% |
| Elon | 13.6–16.4 | 5% | 4% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Chattanooga and Elon come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Chattanooga have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Elon have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 5 times since 2012: Chattanooga 3, Elon 2. The last meeting, on Jan 23, 2014, finished Elon 63, Chattanooga 84.