NCAAB
Harvard
2-1
George Washington
3-0
Win Probability
Harvard visits George Washington in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the hosts. The Colonials' undefeated start has positioned them as strong favourites over the Crimson, who arrive at 2-1. Both teams' scoring will matter: Harvard's offence will need to exceed its projected output, while George Washington's defence must maintain the standard that has carried them through three wins. In games where AccuScore has leaned this heavily toward the home side, that side won 92% of the time across a comparable sample. For Harvard to pull off the upset, their scoring would need to surge well above the simulation's expectation while George Washington's output fell short.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | GW | EV | HARV | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -600 | -2.0% | +440 | -2.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -610 | -2.1% | +440 | -2.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -600 | -2.0% | +430 | -3.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -897 | -4.3% | +412 | -4.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 134.5 | -105 | -1.4% | -115 | -3.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 135.5 | -110 | -5.0% | -110 | +0.5% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 134.5 | -105 | -1.4% | -115 | -3.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 135 | -110 | -3.7% | -110 | -0.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 135.5 | -471 | -21.5% | -316 | -15.2% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes George Washington 82% to beat Harvard (18%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes George Washington the more likely winner at 82%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives George Washington a 82% chance of beating Harvard, against 18% for Harvard. George Washington are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Harvard (0-1 so far) project to finish 12.0–14.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
George Washington (3-0 so far) project to finish 20.9–10.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 25% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harvard | 12.0–14.0 | 14% | 11% |
| George Washington | 20.9–10.1 | 12% | 25% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Harvard and George Washington come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
George Washington have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).