NCAAB
South Dakota
1-3
Drake
2-0
Win Probability
South Dakota travels to Drake in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the host. The Coyotes enter at 1-3 while Drake sits undefeated at 2-0, and AccuScore's model projects a comfortable margin for the Bulldogs. On games where the simulation has leaned this heavily toward one side, that team won 92% of the time across 800 graded contests. South Dakota will need efficient perimeter shooting and defensive pressure to keep pace; any offensive lull likely proves fatal given Drake's projected scoring output. The game hinges on whether the Coyotes can generate enough three-point volume and defensive stops to stay within striking distance through the second half.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | DRKE | EV | SDAK | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -800 | -0.3% | +550 | -12.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -1250 | -2.3% | +740 | -1.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -1300 | -2.4% | +800 | +2.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -5429 | -5.0% | +202 | -32.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 162.5 | -108 | -5.3% | -112 | +0.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 162.5 | -110 | -5.7% | -110 | +1.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | 161.5 | -110 | -3.4% | -110 | -1.1% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 162.5 | -115 | -6.6% | -105 | +2.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 162 | -110 | -4.5% | -110 | +0.1% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Drake 88% to beat South Dakota (12%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Drake the more likely winner at 88%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Drake a 88% chance of beating South Dakota, against 12% for South Dakota. Drake are at home and favoured on these numbers.
South Dakota (0-3 so far) project to finish 9.0–19.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Drake (1-0 so far) project to finish 17.3–13.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 14% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Dakota | 9.0–19.0 | 4% | 4% |
| Drake | 17.3–13.7 | 11% | 14% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How South Dakota and Drake come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
South Dakota have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2017: South Dakota 1, Drake 0. The last meeting, on Dec 6, 2017, finished Drake 65, South Dakota 93.