SIU Edwardsville
2-2
#2Duke
2-1
Win Probability
SIU Edwardsville travels to face Duke in a clash where the simulation strongly favours the home side. When AccuScore's model has leaned this heavily toward one team across 50,000 simulations, it won 97% of the time in similar spots. The game turns on Duke's ability to control pace and limit SIU Edwardsville's scoring; the projected gap widens if the Cougars cannot generate efficient offence. For SIU Edwardsville to pull the upset, they would need to defend at a level that forces Duke into far more difficulty than the model anticipates.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | DUKE | EV | SIUE | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -100000 | -0.0% | +70000 | -14.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -7.2% | -110 | +2.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -7.2% | -110 | +2.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -7.2% | -110 | +2.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -7.2% | -110 | +2.7% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Duke 100% to beat SIU Edwardsville (0%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Duke the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Duke a 100% chance of beating SIU Edwardsville, against 0% for SIU Edwardsville. Duke are at home and favoured on these numbers.
SIU Edwardsville (0-2 so far) project to finish 12.0–15.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 10% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Duke (2-1 so far) project to finish 26.6–5.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 99% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU Edwardsville | 12.0–15.0 | 11% | 10% |
| Duke | 26.6–5.4 | 64% | 99% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How SIU Edwardsville and Duke come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
SIU Edwardsville have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Duke have won 2 of their last 3 (L-W-W, most recent first).