Lindenwood
2-2
Omaha
2-2
Win Probability
Lindenwood travels to face Omaha in a matchup between evenly matched teams, both sitting at 2-2. The simulation leans slightly toward the hosts, projecting a closely contested game decided by execution in the final possessions. Omaha's offense will need to sustain its efficiency; the model gives the Mavericks a 48% chance of exceeding their scoring projection. In games where AccuScore has favored one side this narrowly across similar statistical shapes, that side has won 57% of the time. Lindenwood can pull the upset if its defense forces enough turnovers to keep pace in what figures to be a low-scoring affair.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | OMA | EV | LIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -185 | -9.3% | +154 | +9.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -184 | -9.2% | +152 | +9.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -180 | -8.9% | +150 | +8.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -332 | -15.6% | -285 | -18.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 153.5 | -110 | -6.5% | -110 | +1.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 152.5 | -110 | -4.1% | -110 | -0.5% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 153.5 | -110 | -6.5% | -110 | +1.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 153 | -110 | -5.2% | -110 | +0.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 152.5 | -471 | -20.8% | -316 | -15.8% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 47.1%
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Omaha 53% to beat Lindenwood (47%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Omaha the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Omaha a 53% chance of beating Lindenwood, against 47% for Lindenwood. Omaha are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Lindenwood (0-2 so far) project to finish 14.6–12.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Omaha (0-2 so far) project to finish 6.2–19.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lindenwood | 14.6–12.4 | 25% | 19% |
| Omaha | 6.2–19.8 | 2% | 2% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Lindenwood and Omaha come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Lindenwood have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).