UL Monroe
1-3
Arizona State
3-0
Win Probability
Arizona State hosts UL Monroe in a matchup where the simulation strongly favors the Sun Devils. AccuScore's model leans decisively toward Arizona State, projecting a decisive margin that reflects UL Monroe's 1–3 record against the home team's unbeaten start. On games shaped this way—where the model's lean runs this strong—the favored side has won 97 percent of 621 graded contests. For UL Monroe to pull the upset, the visiting team would need to generate stops on Arizona State's possessions while keeping pace offensively, a difficult proposition given the gulf the simulation identifies between these rosters.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | ASU | EV | ULM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -100000 | -0.3% | +5000 | -32.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -50000 | -0.3% | +9000 | -18.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 152.5 | -110 | +3.4% | -110 | -7.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 151.5 | -110 | +5.7% | -110 | -10.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 152.5 | -110 | +3.4% | -110 | -7.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 151.5 | -110 | +5.7% | -110 | -10.3% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Arizona State 99% to beat UL Monroe (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Arizona State the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Arizona State a 99% chance of beating UL Monroe, against 1% for UL Monroe. Arizona State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
UL Monroe (0-3 so far) project to finish 5.9–23.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Arizona State (3-0 so far) project to finish 18.8–13.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 44% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL Monroe | 5.9–23.1 | <1% | <1% |
| Arizona State | 18.8–13.2 | 1% | 44% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How UL Monroe and Arizona State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
UL Monroe have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Arizona State have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).