NCAAB
Bryant
1-3
Rutgers
2-0
Win Probability
Rutgers hosts Bryant in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. On games shaped this way, AccuScore's model has won 97% of 622 prior contests. The Scarlet Knights project to 85.6 points while the Bulldogs check in at 63.4, a gap that hinges on whether Bryant can generate enough perimeter scoring to stay close. For the visitors to pull the upset, they would need a shooting night well above their simulation baseline while Rutgers misfires from outside.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | RUTG | EV | BRY | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -6500 | -1.1% | +2000 | -12.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -7000 | -1.1% | +2500 | -3.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -5429 | -0.9% | +295 | -42.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 149.5 | -105 | -3.0% | -115 | -1.5% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 150.5 | -105 | -5.5% | -115 | +0.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 149.5 | -110 | -4.1% | -110 | -0.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 150.5 | -371 | -21.1% | -351 | -15.1% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Rutgers 96% to beat Bryant (4%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Rutgers the more likely winner at 96%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Rutgers a 96% chance of beating Bryant, against 4% for Bryant. Rutgers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Bryant (1-3 so far) project to finish 10.5–19.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Rutgers (2-0 so far) project to finish 14.7–15.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 24% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Bryant and Rutgers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.