Long Island University
0-4
Fordham
2-1
Win Probability
Long Island University travels to face Fordham in a matchup where the simulation strongly favors the home side. The Sharks arrive winless through four games while Fordham has won two of three at home. LIU's offense will need to generate pace and limit turnovers—the model projects a combined 143 points, below the typical game total, suggesting both teams will struggle to score freely. In games where AccuScore has leaned this decisively toward the home team, that side won 92% of 800 comparable fixtures. For Long Island University to pull the upset, it would need to construct an unexpectedly efficient offensive performance against a Fordham team the model sees controlling the tempo.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | FOR | EV | LIU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -700 | -2.9% | +500 | +2.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -900 | -4.2% | +575 | +9.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -800 | -3.6% | +550 | +7.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -897 | -4.2% | +475 | +0.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 143.5 | -115 | -6.2% | -105 | +1.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -5.2% | -110 | +0.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | 143.5 | -110 | -5.2% | -110 | +0.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 143.5 | -105 | -4.2% | -115 | -0.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 143 | -110 | -4.0% | -110 | -0.4% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Fordham 82% to beat Long Island University (18%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Fordham the more likely winner at 82%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Fordham a 82% chance of beating Long Island University, against 18% for Long Island University. Fordham are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Long Island University (0-4 so far) project to finish 13.2–17.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 31% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Fordham (2-1 so far) project to finish 15.2–14.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long Island University | 13.2–17.8 | 27% | 31% |
| Fordham | 15.2–14.8 | 1% | 3% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Long Island University and Fordham come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Long Island University have won 0 of their last 4 (L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Fordham have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).