Marist
1-2
Lehigh
1-2
Win Probability
Marist travels to Lehigh in a matchup where both teams carry 1-2 records into a tight contest. The simulation leans slightly toward the host, projecting a game decided by a single point. Lehigh's offense will likely turn on whether it can generate consistent scoring; Marist's defense faces a similar test in containing the home team's attack. In 6,732 games shaped like this one, the favored side won 57% of the time. For Marist to pull off the road win, its shooting would need to stay hot while limiting Lehigh's opportunities in transition.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | LEH | EV | MRST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -130 | -2.9% | +110 | -0.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -130 | -2.9% | +110 | -0.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -166 | -7.4% | -106 | -4.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 134.5 | -110 | -5.3% | -110 | +0.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 134.5 | -110 | -5.3% | -110 | +0.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 133.5 | -110 | -2.8% | -110 | -1.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 133.5 | -166 | -10.4% | -197 | -11.9% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Lehigh 53% to beat Marist (47%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Lehigh the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Lehigh a 53% chance of beating Marist, against 47% for Marist. Lehigh are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Marist (1-2 so far) project to finish 14.9–14.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Lehigh (1-2 so far) project to finish 12.7–16.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Marist and Lehigh come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met 4 times since 2018: Marist 1, Lehigh 3. The last meeting, on Nov 24, 2025, finished Lehigh 55, Marist 78.