Columbia
2-1
Bucknell
0-3
Win Probability
Columbia travels to Bucknell as the favored side in this matchup between a 2-1 Lion squad and a winless Buck team. The simulation leans clearly toward the visitors, with the outcome hinging on three-point shooting: Columbia's Geoff Sprengel has a 58% chance to exceed his line from deep, while Bucknell's Ryan Kirwan sits at 44%. Across eight similar spots in AccuScore's record, the favored side won six games. For Bucknell to pull the upset at home, its perimeter game would need to significantly outpace Columbia's.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | BUCK | EV | COLU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +160 | -1.8% | -192 | -2.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +150 | -3.6% | -180 | -1.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -166 | -20.3% | -197 | -2.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | +1.1% | -110 | -5.6% |
| Caesars ↗ | 145.5 | -115 | +2.1% | -105 | -6.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | +1.1% | -110 | -5.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 146 | -110 | +2.2% | -110 | -6.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 146.5 | -471 | -17.6% | -316 | -19.4% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Columbia 63% to beat Bucknell (37%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Columbia the more likely winner at 63%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Bucknell a 37% chance of beating Columbia, against 63% for Columbia. Bucknell are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Columbia (1-1 so far) project to finish 13.6–13.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Bucknell (0-3 so far) project to finish 8.3–22.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Columbia and Bucknell come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.