NCAAB
Fairleigh Dickinson
2-2
Oklahoma
2-1
Win Probability
Oklahoma hosts Fairleigh Dickinson in a matchup where the simulation strongly favors the home side. The model projects a decisive victory built on a substantial scoring gap, with Oklahoma's offense expected to generate significant volume while Fairleigh Dickinson struggles to keep pace. In games where the model has leaned this heavily toward one team, it has won 97% of the time across 622 graded contests. Fairleigh Dickinson would need a historic shooting performance and a collapse from Oklahoma's offense to change the outcome—a scenario the 50,000 simulations suggest is extremely unlikely.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | OU | EV | FDU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -100000 | -0.2% | +12000 | -25.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 149.5 | -105 | -2.2% | -115 | -2.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 148.5 | -105 | +0.5% | -115 | -4.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 148 | -115 | -0.4% | -105 | -4.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 148.5 | -505 | -19.0% | -299 | -17.8% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Oklahoma 100% to beat Fairleigh Dickinson (0%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Oklahoma the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Oklahoma a 100% chance of beating Fairleigh Dickinson, against 0% for Fairleigh Dickinson. Oklahoma are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Fairleigh Dickinson (1-2 so far) project to finish 10.0–19.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Oklahoma (2-1 so far) project to finish 15.3–16.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 24% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairleigh Dickinson | 10.0–19.0 | 6% | 9% |
| Oklahoma | 15.3–16.7 | 1% | 24% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Fairleigh Dickinson and Oklahoma come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Fairleigh Dickinson have won 1 of their last 3 (W-L-L, most recent first).
Oklahoma have won 2 of their last 3 (W-W-L, most recent first).