East Texas A&M
2-1
Portland
3-1
Win Probability
East Texas A&M travels to Portland for a matchup that favours the home side decisively. The simulation projects a low-scoring game, with Portland's defence holding the visitors to 71.5 points while the Pilots reach 80.1. East Texas A&M will need sharp perimeter shooting and ball control to stay close; any breakdown in either gives Portland room to extend its advantage. In similar games where the model has leaned this heavily toward the home team, that side won 81% of the time. An upset would require East Texas A&M to overcome both Portland's home-court comfort and a scoring projection that leaves little margin for error.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | Line | PORT | EV | ETAM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -7 | -110 | +3.8% | -110 | -8.1% |
| Book | PORT | EV | ETAM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -280 | +0.8% | +225 | -9.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | 150 | -110 | +0.5% | -110 | -5.0% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Portland 75% to beat East Texas A&M (25%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Portland the more likely winner at 75%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Portland a 75% chance of beating East Texas A&M, against 25% for East Texas A&M. Portland are at home and favoured on these numbers.
East Texas A&M (2-1 so far) project to finish 11.9–19.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Portland (1-1 so far) project to finish 13.7–15.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Texas A&M | 11.9–19.1 | 2% | 2% |
| Portland | 13.7–15.3 | 3% | 4% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How East Texas A&M and Portland come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
East Texas A&M have won 2 of their last 3 (L-W-W, most recent first).
Portland have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).