Arkansas-Pine Bluff
0-3
California Baptist
0-3
Win Probability
Arkansas-Pine Bluff travels to face California Baptist in a matchup between two winless teams, with the simulation strongly favoring the hosts. California Baptist's offense will need to execute at a high level; the model projects the home side to reach 82 points, with that margin of victory proving decisive in a game where both teams have struggled early. For Arkansas-Pine Bluff to pull off the upset, perimeter shooting becomes critical—the visitor would need to climb from a projected 65.8 points to steal a road win. In games shaped like this one, AccuScore's favored side won 97% of the time across 622 graded contests. The Pine Bluff defense must force turnovers and limit California Baptist's spacing advantage for any chance to keep this close.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | CBU | EV | UAPB | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -1650 | -1.5% | +950 | -4.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -1500 | -1.3% | +900 | -7.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -2105 | -2.1% | +732 | -14.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -5.0% | -110 | +0.5% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -5.0% | -110 | +0.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 149 | -105 | -5.3% | -115 | +0.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 149.5 | -417 | -22.4% | -351 | -14.3% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes California Baptist 91% to beat Arkansas-Pine Bluff (9%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes California Baptist the more likely winner at 91%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives California Baptist a 91% chance of beating Arkansas-Pine Bluff, against 9% for Arkansas-Pine Bluff. California Baptist are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (0-3 so far) project to finish 7.4–21.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
California Baptist (0-3 so far) project to finish 12.6–19.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 7.4–21.6 | 2% | 2% |
| California Baptist | 12.6–19.4 | 5% | 4% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Arkansas-Pine Bluff and California Baptist come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff have won 0 of their last 3 (L-L-L, most recent first).
California Baptist have won 0 of their last 3 (L-L-L, most recent first).