NCAAB
Tulane
2-1
Akron
2-0
Win Probability
Tulane travels to face Akron in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the home side. AccuScore's model leans heavily toward the Zips, who enter undefeated at home. The game hinges on three-point shooting: Tulane has a 62% chance to exceed its perimeter volume, while Akron projects to stay efficient from distance. In similar spots across eight prior games, the favoured team won six times. For the Green Wave to pull the upset, they would need to force Akron into an uncharacteristically cold night from beyond the arc.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | AKR | EV | TULN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -750 | -0.3% | +525 | -11.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -880 | -1.2% | +580 | -8.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -800 | -0.7% | +550 | -10.0% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -835 | -0.9% | +510 | -12.5% |
| betPARX ↗ | -835 | -0.9% | +510 | -12.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 155.5 | -110 | +2.8% | -110 | -7.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 155.5 | -110 | +2.8% | -110 | -7.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | 155.5 | -110 | +2.8% | -110 | -7.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 155.5 | -105 | +4.0% | -115 | -8.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 155 | -115 | +2.9% | -105 | -7.6% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Akron 88% to beat Tulane (12%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Akron the more likely winner at 88%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Akron a 88% chance of beating Tulane, against 12% for Tulane. Akron are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Tulane (2-1 so far) project to finish 13.5–17.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Akron (1-0 so far) project to finish 20.2–7.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 34% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Tulane and Akron come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met once since 2025: Tulane 0, Akron 1. The last meeting, on Dec 6, 2025, finished Akron 88, Tulane 71.