Bradley
2-2
George Mason
3-0
Win Probability
Bradley travels to George Mason in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the host. The Patriots enter undefeated at 3-0, while the Braves arrive at 2-2, and AccuScore projects a low-scoring affair centered on Bradley's offensive struggles. The game turns on whether Bradley can generate points against a George Mason defense that has held opponents down; across eight similar games where the model leaned this strongly toward the home team, the favored side won 81 percent of the time. For Bradley to pull the upset, it would need to overcome a significant disadvantage in pace and efficiency that the projections suggest.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | GMU | EV | BRAD | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -780 | -5.8% | +530 | +18.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -650 | -4.8% | +460 | +10.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -812 | -6.0% | +475 | +12.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 130.5 | -105 | -1.3% | -115 | -3.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 130.5 | -110 | -2.4% | -110 | -2.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | 130.5 | -110 | -2.4% | -110 | -2.2% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 129.5 | -115 | -0.7% | -105 | -3.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 130 | -115 | -2.0% | -105 | -2.4% |
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes George Mason 78% to beat Bradley (22%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes George Mason the more likely winner at 78%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives George Mason a 78% chance of beating Bradley, against 22% for Bradley. George Mason are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Bradley (1-2 so far) project to finish 13.9–15.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
George Mason (3-0 so far) project to finish 19.0–12.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 14% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley | 13.9–15.1 | 6% | 7% |
| George Mason | 19.0–12.0 | 5% | 14% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Bradley and George Mason come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Bradley have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).
George Mason have won 3 of their last 3 (W-W-W, most recent first).