NCAAB
Loyola Chicago
2-1
Colorado State
3-0
Win Probability
Loyola Chicago travels to face Colorado State in a matchup that heavily favours the home side. AccuScore's simulation leans decisively toward the Ramblers' hosts, who project to pull away in the second half. The visiting Ramblers will need strong perimeter shooting and Colorado State's role players to underperform for Loyola Chicago to steal a road win. On games shaped this way—where the model has strongly preferred one side—that side won 92 percent of its past matchups. Everything turns on whether Loyola Chicago can force turnovers and control the tempo; any letdown in either will leave them short.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | CSU | EV | LUC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -450 | -1.0% | +340 | -6.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -425 | -0.5% | +325 | -7.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -471 | -1.4% | +286 | -11.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 152.5 | -105 | -5.3% | -115 | +0.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 152.5 | -110 | -6.3% | -110 | +1.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | 152.5 | -110 | -6.3% | -110 | +1.7% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 151.5 | -115 | -4.9% | -105 | +0.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 152 | -110 | -5.1% | -110 | +0.6% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado State 80% to beat Loyola Chicago (20%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado State the more likely winner at 80%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Colorado State a 80% chance of beating Loyola Chicago, against 20% for Loyola Chicago. Colorado State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Loyola Chicago (2-1 so far) project to finish 10.1–18.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Colorado State (3-0 so far) project to finish 15.8–13.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 17% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loyola Chicago | 10.1–18.9 | <1% | 1% |
| Colorado State | 15.8–13.2 | 3% | 17% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Loyola Chicago and Colorado State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Loyola Chicago have won 2 of their last 3 (L-W-W, most recent first).
Colorado State have won 3 of their last 3 (W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2025: Loyola Chicago 0, Colorado State 1. The last meeting, on Nov 16, 2025, finished Colorado State 80, Loyola Chicago 67.