NCAAB
Southern Utah
3-1
Wake Forest
2-1
Win Probability
Southern Utah travels to Wake Forest as a significant underdog in this matchup. The simulation favors the Demon Deacons decisively, projecting them to pull away in the second half. For Southern Utah to threaten an upset, Jaiden Feroah and Jajuan Nicholls would both need to exceed 21 and 19 points respectively—a 49% proposition for each—while holding Wake Forest's balanced scoring in check. Wake Forest's depth presents the real problem: Kevair Kennedy has a 47% chance to top 30 combined points and assists, and Gavin Placide a 45% chance to exceed 24. On games shaped this way, AccuScore's favored side has won 97 of its last 100.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | WAKE | EV | SUU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -2400 | -2.5% | +1200 | +7.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -4500 | -3.4% | +1600 | +24.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -4000 | -3.3% | +1800 | +33.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -2659 | -2.7% | +1203 | +7.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 155.5 | -110 | +2.4% | -110 | -6.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 155.5 | -115 | +1.3% | -105 | -6.0% |
| Caesars ↗ | 155.5 | -110 | +2.4% | -110 | -6.9% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 155.5 | -115 | +1.3% | -105 | -6.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 156 | -110 | +1.4% | -110 | -5.8% |
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
AccuScore's simulation makes Wake Forest 91% to beat Southern Utah (9%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Wake Forest the more likely winner at 91%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Wake Forest a 91% chance of beating Southern Utah, against 9% for Southern Utah. Wake Forest are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Southern Utah (0-1 so far) project to finish 15.8–13.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 18% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Wake Forest (2-1 so far) project to finish 15.6–15.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Utah | 15.8–13.2 | 21% | 18% |
| Wake Forest | 15.6–15.4 | 1% | 19% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Southern Utah and Wake Forest come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Wake Forest have won 1 of their last 2 (L-W, most recent first).