NCAAB
Marshall
1-2
Youngstown State
1-2
Win Probability
Marshall travels to Youngstown State in a game the simulation favors only slightly for the hosts. Both teams sit at 1-2, and this matchup hinges on perimeter shooting: the model projects Marshall's guard to exceed 15 points in 61% of outcomes, while Youngstown State's forward clears 12 rebounds in just 49% of simulations. In games where AccuScore's lean has been this marginal, the favored side won 57% of the time across 6,736 graded contests. For Marshall to pull the upset on the road, its backcourt will need to sustain that efficiency while containing YSU's scoring threats.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | YSU | EV | MRSH | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -102 | +1.1% | -118 | -5.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -105 | +0.4% | -115 | -4.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -120 | -2.7% | -125 | -6.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 159.5 | -110 | -1.0% | -110 | -3.5% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 160.5 | -110 | -3.2% | -110 | -1.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 160 | -110 | -2.1% | -110 | -2.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 159.5 | -129 | -4.5% | -129 | -6.8% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 51.6%
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AccuScore's simulation makes Youngstown State 52% to beat Marshall (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Youngstown State the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Youngstown State a 52% chance of beating Marshall, against 48% for Marshall. Youngstown State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Marshall (1-2 so far) project to finish 15.7–12.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Youngstown State (1-2 so far) project to finish 15.5–13.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall | 15.7–12.3 | 13% | 11% |
| Youngstown State | 15.5–13.5 | 13% | 11% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Marshall and Youngstown State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Marshall have won 1 of their last 3 (L-L-W, most recent first).
Youngstown State have won 1 of their last 2 (L-W, most recent first).