NCAAB

Rider vs Villanova Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges

NCAAB•Sun, Nov 15 • 12:00 AM

RID

Rider

1-3

VILL

Villanova

2-1

Win Probability

Moneyline

RID

+20000

0.1% win prob

EV -39.9%

Fanatics

Moneyline

VILL

-100000

99.9% win prob

EV -0.0%

Fanatics

Analysis

Villanova hosts Rider in a matchup that heavily favors the home team. AccuScore's simulation projects a decisive outcome, one shaped by the Broncs' offensive limitations: Rider is modeled to score 56.1 points, well below what typically keeps a game close. The key to an upset would be Villanova shooting poorly enough to fall well short of its 90.3 projection, but in games where the model has leaned this heavily toward one side, that side won 97% of the time across 630 prior games. On the road, Rider must hope to contain Villanova's scoring and stay within range through the final minutes.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadVILL -33.5

-4.5-35.75-67

RID Cover

48.5%

no odds at this line

VILL Cover

51.5%

no odds at this line

Total (Over/Under)O/U 145.5

109.5147.75186

Over Cover

51.8%

EV -0.6%

-110Fanatics ↗

Under Cover

48.2%

EV -2.9%

-105theScore Bet ↗

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

1.2%RID

Tied 0.3%

VILL98.5%

1st Half SpreadVILL -19

1-19-39

RID Cover

47.8%

no odds at this line

VILL Cover

47.8%

no odds at this line

Push 4.4% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the line

1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 70

507090

Over Cover

48.4%

no odds at this line

Under Cover

47.7%

no odds at this line

Push 3.9% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

VILL RID

Sort:

EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

Book	VILL	EV	RID	EV
Fanatics ↗	-100000	-0.0%	+20000	-39.9%

Total (O/U)

Book	Line	Over	EV (O)	Under	EV (U)
FanDuel ↗	145.5	-110	-0.6%	-110	-4.0%
theScore Bet ↗	145.5	-115	-1.6%	-105	-2.9%
Fanatics ↗	145.5	-110	-0.6%	-110	-4.0%

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes Villanova 100% to beat Rider (0%).

Projection updated Nov 13, 6:42 PM ET

Who will win Rider vs Villanova?

AccuScore's simulation makes Villanova the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Villanova beat Rider?

AccuScore's simulation gives Villanova a 100% chance of beating Rider, against 0% for Rider. Villanova are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Season outlook

Rider (0-3 so far) project to finish 6.9–23.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Villanova (2-0 so far) project to finish 17.3–12.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 50% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Conference title	Playoffs
Rider	6.9–23.1	1%	1%
Villanova	17.3–12.7	5%	50%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Rider and Villanova come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

RiderLLL

Nov 8at BinghamtonL 63–75
Nov 5vs New HampshireL 55–66
Nov 2at PittsburghL 57–95

Rider have won 0 of their last 3 (L-L-L, most recent first).

VillanovaWL

Nov 6vs Holy CrossW 95–66
Nov 1vs Notre DameL 72–74

Villanova have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).