NCAAB
Washington
2-0
Utah
3-0
Win Probability
Washington travels to Utah in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. The Huskies enter at 2-0 while the Utes sit undefeated at 3-0, and AccuScore's 50,000 simulations project a low-scoring affair centered on execution in the closing minutes. Utah's depth in ball handling will test Washington's perimeter pressure; a Washington player projects a 67% chance of exceeding four assists, suggesting the visitors believe they can force turnovers and control tempo. When the model has favored a team this strongly in past games of similar probability shape, that side won 68% of the time across 2,206 graded contests. Washington would need to steal possessions late and convert at an unusually high rate to pull the upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | UTAH | EV | WASH | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -154 | +0.7% | +128 | -6.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -165 | -0.6% | +135 | -4.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -172 | -1.4% | +110 | -9.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 144.5 | -115 | -2.7% | -105 | -1.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 143.5 | -115 | -0.3% | -105 | -4.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 144.5 | -115 | -2.7% | -105 | -1.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 144 | -110 | -0.4% | -110 | -4.0% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 61.5%
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AccuScore's simulation makes Utah 62% to beat Washington (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah the more likely winner at 62%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Utah a 62% chance of beating Washington, against 39% for Washington. Utah are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Washington (2-0 so far) project to finish 12.7–16.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Utah (3-0 so far) project to finish 15.4–16.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 12.7–16.3 | <1% | 19% |
| Utah | 15.4–16.6 | <1% | 12% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Washington and Utah come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Washington have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
Utah have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 11 times since 2012: Washington 6, Utah 5. The last meeting, on Dec 28, 2025, finished Utah 65, Washington 74.