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← Today's Edges
NCAAB•Sun, Nov 15 • 1:00 AMSilver Edge
ULM

UL Monroe

1-3

VS
GCU

Grand Canyon

3-0

Win Probability

Moneyline

ULM

+9000

0.6% win prob

EV -22.7%

Fanatics

Moneyline

GCU

-50000

99.4% win prob

EV -0.2%

Fanatics

Analysis

UL Monroe travels to face Grand Canyon in a matchup where the simulation strongly favours the home side. The Warhawks enter at 1-3 while Grand Canyon sits undefeated at 3-0, a gap the numbers expect to widen decisively. Grand Canyon's depth should control the pace; in 50,000 simulations, the Antelopes' projected scoring margin reflects the gap between these rosters. On games where AccuScore has leaned this heavily toward one side, that team won 97% of the time across comparable matchups. For UL Monroe to pull off an upset, its perimeter shooting would need to exceed expectations significantly while forcing turnovers that disrupt Grand Canyon's rhythm.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadGCU -28.5
1.5-29.25-60
ULM Cover
48.5%
no odds at this line
GCU Cover
51.5%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 164.5
125.5166.25207
Over Cover
51.0%
EV -1.3%
-110Fanatics ↗
Under Cover
49.0%
EV -3.2%
-110Fanatics ↗

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

2.3%ULM
Tied 0.8%
GCU96.9%
1st Half SpreadGCU -17
3-17-37
ULM Cover
48.0%
no odds at this line
GCU Cover
47.5%
no odds at this line
Push 4.5% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 79
597999
Over Cover
48.1%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
48.4%
no odds at this line
Push 3.5% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

GCU ULM
Sort:

EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.

Odds Comparison

Spread

BookLineGCUEVULMEV
FanDuel ↗-31.5-110-9.7%-110+5.2%
Fanatics ↗-31.5-110-9.7%-110+5.2%

Moneyline

BookGCUEVULMEV
Fanatics ↗-50000-0.2%+9000-22.7%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
FanDuel ↗164.5-110-1.3%-110-3.2%
Fanatics ↗164.5-110-1.3%-110-3.2%

Where to Bet

silver
ULM +31.5+5.2% EV

Win probability: 57.8%

Fanatics
-110Bet →
FanDuel
-110Bet →

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NCAAB

UL Monroe vs Grand Canyon Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 8:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Grand Canyon 99% to beat UL Monroe (1%).

Projection updated Nov 13, 6:42 PM ET

Who will win UL Monroe vs Grand Canyon?

AccuScore's simulation makes Grand Canyon the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Grand Canyon beat UL Monroe?

AccuScore's simulation gives Grand Canyon a 99% chance of beating UL Monroe, against 1% for UL Monroe. Grand Canyon are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every UL Monroe vs Grand Canyon meeting →UL Monroe predictions & record →Grand Canyon predictions & record →

Season outlook

UL Monroe (0-3 so far) project to finish 5.9–23.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Grand Canyon (3-0 so far) project to finish 20.4–9.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 27% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordConference titlePlayoffs
UL Monroe5.9–23.1<1%1%
Grand Canyon20.4–9.619%27%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How UL Monroe and Grand Canyon come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

UL MonroeLL
  • Nov 9at Texas A&ML 67–108
  • Nov 2vs Central MichiganL 78–83

UL Monroe have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).

Grand CanyonWWW
  • Nov 11vs Cal PolyW 99–71
  • Nov 7vs Bethune-CookmanW 99–81
  • Nov 2vs Texas SouthernW 103–79

Grand Canyon have won 3 of their last 3 (W-W-W, most recent first).