NCAAB • Sun, Nov 15, 01:30
Furman arrives at Belmont unbeaten, but the simulation favours the home side in a contest that hinges on three-point shooting. On games where the model has leaned this way toward the home team, the favoured side won 57% of the time across 6,736 comparable matchups. For Furman to pull the upset on the road, it would need Scalp to break out from deep and Muszynski to have an uncharacteristically quiet night.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Belmont 58% to beat Furman (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Belmont the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Belmont a 58% chance of beating Furman, against 42% for Furman. Belmont are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Furman (3-0 so far) project to finish 21.5–7.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 31% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Belmont (1-1 so far) project to finish 16.3–13.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Furman and Belmont come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met 2 times since 2022: Furman 2, Belmont 0. The last meeting, on Nov 9, 2023, finished Belmont 76, Furman 99.