NCAAB
Drexel
1-2
Maine
1-3
Win Probability
Drexel travels to Maine in a matchup between two teams searching for their footing early in the season. The simulation leans clearly toward the Dragons, who project to win a low-scoring affair decided by perimeter shooting and efficiency. Maine's Forest Phimphumy has a 61% chance to exceed 2.5 three-pointers, while Drexel's Zach Walton projects a 58% chance to top 12.5 points; whichever team executes better from distance likely controls the outcome. In games where AccuScore has favored one side this strongly across different matchups, that side has won 68% of the time. Maine would need to force turnovers and limit three-point attempts to pull off the upset at home.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | ME | EV | DREX | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +154 | +0.5% | -185 | -3.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +150 | -0.2% | -180 | -3.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -110 | -12.0% | -197 | -4.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 130.5 | -115 | -4.7% | -105 | +0.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 130.5 | -110 | -3.7% | -110 | -0.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 131 | -110 | -4.9% | -110 | +0.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 130.5 | -5429 | -25.3% | -5429 | -23.8% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 39.8%
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AccuScore's simulation makes Drexel 60% to beat Maine (40%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Drexel the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Maine a 40% chance of beating Drexel, against 60% for Drexel. Maine are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Drexel (1-2 so far) project to finish 14.0–16.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Maine (1-3 so far) project to finish 12.3–18.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Drexel and Maine come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met once since 2025: Drexel 1, Maine 0. The last meeting, on Dec 21, 2025, finished Maine 56, Drexel 74.