NCAAB
Stonehill
1-2
#16Texas Tech
3-0
Win Probability
Stonehill travels to face Texas Tech in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. AccuScore projects Texas Tech to pull away decisively, with the Red Raiders' offensive firepower the decisive factor in how the game unfolds. On games shaped this way historically, AccuScore's favored side won 97% of the time across 632 graded contests. For Stonehill to stay competitive, the Eagles would need to generate significantly more offensive output than the projection allows and force Texas Tech into an uncharacteristically poor shooting night at home.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | TTU | EV | STO | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -100000 | -0.0% | +20000 | -39.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 142.5 | -115 | -7.8% | -105 | +3.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 142.5 | -115 | -7.8% | -105 | +3.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 143 | -110 | -8.2% | -110 | +3.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 142.5 | -5429 | -27.0% | -5429 | -22.0% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Texas Tech 100% to beat Stonehill (0%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Texas Tech the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Texas Tech a 100% chance of beating Stonehill, against 0% for Stonehill. Texas Tech are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Stonehill (0-2 so far) project to finish 8.7–19.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Texas Tech (3-0 so far) project to finish 20.3–8.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 82% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stonehill | 8.7–19.3 | 5% | 9% |
| Texas Tech | 20.3–8.7 | 10% | 82% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Stonehill and Texas Tech come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Stonehill have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Texas Tech have won 3 of their last 3 (W-W-W, most recent first).