Rice
1-2
Stephen F. Austin
3-0
Win Probability
Stephen F. Austin hosts Rice in a matchup the simulation favors decisively to the home side. The Owls arrive at 1-2 while the Lumberjacks remain unbeaten at 3-0, and AccuScore projects a margin that reflects SFA's advantage in nearly four of five simulations. Rice will need its offense to operate at peak efficiency—the model expects the Owls to score in the upper 60s—while Stephen F. Austin's depth should allow it to sustain scoring through the second half. On games shaped this way, AccuScore's favored side has won 92% of the time. For Rice to pull the upset, it would require the Lumberjacks to fall well short of their projected output.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | SFA | EV | RICE | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -575 | -0.3% | +420 | -10.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -582 | -0.4% | +321 | -17.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -3.4% | -110 | -1.1% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -3.4% | -110 | -1.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -3.4% | -110 | -1.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 149.5 | -102 | -4.5% | -160 | -6.1% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Stephen F. Austin 85% to beat Rice (15%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Stephen F. Austin the more likely winner at 85%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Stephen F. Austin a 85% chance of beating Rice, against 15% for Rice. Stephen F. Austin are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Rice (0-2 so far) project to finish 10.6–19.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Stephen F. Austin (1-0 so far) project to finish 19.9–8.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 29% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rice | 10.6–19.4 | 1% | 1% |
| Stephen F. Austin | 19.9–8.1 | 31% | 29% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Rice and Stephen F. Austin come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Rice have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Stephen F. Austin have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2025: Rice 0, Stephen F. Austin 1. The last meeting, on Nov 10, 2025, finished Stephen F. Austin 81, Rice 69.