NCAAB
Jackson State
1-3
Winthrop
0-3
Win Probability
Jackson State travels to face Winthrop in a game where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The Eagles project to 77.5 points, while Winthrop reaches 87.9, with the offensive gap forming the decisive factor—the Eagles' scoring burden falls heaviest on their perimeter, where they must generate consistent volume to keep pace. On games shaped this way, AccuScore's favored side has won 92% of 804 instances. Jackson State would need to engineer an upset through defensive intensity and forced turnovers, areas where the model's projections leave them room to exceed. Without a substantial scoring surge from their outside shot, the visitors face a steep climb in a building they have not played in.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | WIN | EV | JKST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -300 | +4.1% | +240 | -17.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -351 | +2.1% | +232 | -18.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 164.5 | -115 | -2.5% | -105 | -2.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 165.5 | -110 | -3.5% | -110 | -1.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 165 | -110 | -2.5% | -110 | -2.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 165.5 | -215 | -14.3% | -160 | -8.3% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Winthrop 81% to beat Jackson State (19%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Winthrop the more likely winner at 81%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Winthrop a 81% chance of beating Jackson State, against 19% for Jackson State. Winthrop are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Jackson State (1-3 so far) project to finish 12.0–21.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 8% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Winthrop (0-3 so far) project to finish 13.4–14.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 13% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson State | 12.0–21.0 | 9% | 8% |
| Winthrop | 13.4–14.6 | 14% | 13% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Jackson State and Winthrop come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Jackson State have won 1 of their last 4 (L-L-W-L, most recent first).
Winthrop have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2025: Jackson State 0, Winthrop 1. The last meeting, on Nov 22, 2025, finished Winthrop 80, Jackson State 62.