UNC Asheville
2-2
Georgia Tech
3-0
Win Probability
Georgia Tech hosts UNC Asheville in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The Yellow Jackets' depth will be tested early; Georgia Tech's projected scoring output hinges on whether the visiting Bulldogs can keep the game close through the middle quarters. Across eight past games where the model leaned this strongly one direction, the favored side won all eight. UNC Asheville would need to force Georgia Tech into uncharacteristic offensive struggles and convert at the three-point line at an elevated rate to pull off the upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | GT | EV | UNCA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -1500 | -1.9% | +900 | -1.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -2659 | -3.2% | +914 | -0.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 153.5 | -115 | -1.8% | -105 | -2.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 154.5 | -110 | -3.1% | -110 | -1.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 154 | -110 | -1.9% | -110 | -2.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 154.5 | -106 | -2.3% | -147 | -7.2% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Georgia Tech 90% to beat UNC Asheville (10%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Georgia Tech the more likely winner at 90%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Georgia Tech a 90% chance of beating UNC Asheville, against 10% for UNC Asheville. Georgia Tech are at home and favoured on these numbers.
UNC Asheville (1-2 so far) project to finish 11.4–17.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Georgia Tech (3-0 so far) project to finish 13.8–18.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Asheville | 11.4–17.6 | 3% | 4% |
| Georgia Tech | 13.8–18.2 | <1% | 6% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How UNC Asheville and Georgia Tech come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
UNC Asheville have won 1 of their last 3 (W-L-L, most recent first).
Georgia Tech have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).