NCAAB
Delaware State
1-2
East Carolina
2-1
Win Probability
Delaware State travels to face East Carolina in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The Pirates' scoring prowess will be central to the outcome: East Carolina's projected output sits well above Delaware State's, and the visitors will need a sharp defensive effort to keep pace. On games where AccuScore has leaned this heavily toward one side, that side has won 97 percent of the time across 632 graded contests. For Delaware State to pull the upset, its offense would need to exceed its simulated output significantly while limiting East Carolina's efficiency—a combination the model rates as unlikely.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | ECU | EV | DSU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -1600 | -2.0% | +900 | -1.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -1500 | -1.8% | +900 | -1.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -1120 | -0.8% | +663 | -13.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -7.8% | -110 | +3.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -7.8% | -110 | +3.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -7.8% | -110 | +3.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 147.5 | -110 | -7.8% | -110 | +3.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 147.5 | -106 | -7.1% | -135 | -1.4% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes East Carolina 90% to beat Delaware State (10%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes East Carolina the more likely winner at 90%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives East Carolina a 90% chance of beating Delaware State, against 10% for Delaware State. East Carolina are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Delaware State (0-2 so far) project to finish 9.3–16.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
East Carolina (2-1 so far) project to finish 12.5–15.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware State | 9.3–16.7 | 8% | 7% |
| East Carolina | 12.5–15.5 | 1% | 1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Delaware State and East Carolina come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
East Carolina have won 2 of their last 3 (W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2023: Delaware State 0, East Carolina 1. The last meeting, on Dec 19, 2023, finished Delaware State 50, East Carolina 79.