NCAAB
NJIT
1-4
Fairfield
1-2
Win Probability
NJIT travels to Fairfield in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The Hawks control the game through depth and execution, with Fairfield's balanced attack led by players capable of reaching into the 70s and 80s for scoring while the Highlands' offensive load falls closer to the low 60s. On games shaped this way—where one team earns a strong lean—AccuScore's model has won 92% across 804 graded contests. NJIT would need to force early foul trouble on Fairfield's key contributors and impose a faster pace to generate the additional possessions required to overcome the gap in firepower.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | FAIR | EV | NJIT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -575 | -0.9% | +425 | -7.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -650 | -1.8% | +460 | -4.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -741 | -2.6% | +412 | -8.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 139.5 | -110 | -3.5% | -110 | -1.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 139.5 | -110 | -3.5% | -110 | -1.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 139.5 | -110 | -3.5% | -110 | -1.0% |
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
AccuScore's simulation makes Fairfield 84% to beat NJIT (16%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Fairfield the more likely winner at 84%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Fairfield a 84% chance of beating NJIT, against 16% for NJIT. Fairfield are at home and favoured on these numbers.
NJIT (1-4 so far) project to finish 7.6–23.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Fairfield (1-2 so far) project to finish 13.9–16.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How NJIT and Fairfield come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.