NCAAB
Binghamton
3-1
Duquesne
3-0
Win Probability
Binghamton travels to face Duquesne in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the home side. The Dukes' depth will be tested early: AccuScore projects Duquesne's leading scorer at better than 50% to exceed his season average, while Binghamton's primary option sits at just 40% to reach his. Ball control and three-point shooting will decide this game—the model expects a 13-point Duquesne victory, but a close perimeter battle could tighten the margin considerably. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's favoured team won 92% of 804 graded contests. For the Bearcats to pull the upset, their bench scoring would need to outpace Duquesne's reserves by a significant margin.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | DUQ | EV | BING | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -1450 | -3.1% | +850 | +8.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -1400 | -3.0% | +850 | +8.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -3582 | -4.9% | +732 | +0.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 145.5 | -115 | -6.3% | -105 | +2.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 146.5 | -110 | -7.6% | -110 | +3.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 146 | -110 | -6.5% | -110 | +2.0% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Duquesne 88% to beat Binghamton (12%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Duquesne the more likely winner at 88%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Duquesne a 88% chance of beating Binghamton, against 12% for Binghamton. Duquesne are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Binghamton (2-1 so far) project to finish 11.5–16.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Duquesne (2-0 so far) project to finish 14.2–15.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Binghamton | 11.5–16.5 | 4% | 4% |
| Duquesne | 14.2–15.8 | 1% | 2% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Binghamton and Duquesne come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Binghamton have won 2 of their last 3 (W-W-L, most recent first).