NCAAB
Louisiana Tech
2-1
Nicholls
1-2
Win Probability
Louisiana Tech travels to face Nicholls in a matchup the simulation favours slightly toward the home side. The projection hinges on offensive execution in a game expected to be decided by a bucket or two: AccuScore's model sees a one-point separation at the final buzzer. On games shaped this way—moderate home lean, tight scoring—the model's favoured side has won 57% of 6,737 graded contests. For Louisiana Tech to pull the upset, the Hornets would need to replicate their best offensive performances; Nicholls will need its defence to hold firm in the closing minutes when possessions matter most.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | NICH | EV | LT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -130 | -0.9% | +110 | -3.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -393 | -15.2% | -135 | -11.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 138.5 | -105 | -3.2% | -115 | -1.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 138.5 | -105 | -3.2% | -115 | -1.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 138.5 | -110 | -4.3% | -110 | -0.3% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Nicholls 56% to beat Louisiana Tech (45%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Nicholls the more likely winner at 56%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Nicholls a 56% chance of beating Louisiana Tech, against 45% for Louisiana Tech. Nicholls are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Louisiana Tech (1-1 so far) project to finish 18.1–10.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Nicholls (0-2 so far) project to finish 13.0–17.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech | 18.1–10.9 | 19% | 15% |
| Nicholls | 13.0–17.0 | 5% | 5% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Louisiana Tech and Nicholls come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Louisiana Tech have won 1 of their last 2 (L-W, most recent first).