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NCAAB

Missouri vs Marquette Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sun, Nov 15, 2026, 2:30 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NCAAB•Sun, Nov 15 • 7:30 PMSilver Edge
MIZ

Missouri

2-1

VS
MARQ

Marquette

2-1

Win Probability

Moneyline

MIZ

-110

52.7% win prob

EV +0.3%

FanDuel

Moneyline

MARQ

-105

47.3% win prob

EV -3.8%

Fanatics

Analysis

Missouri travels to Marquette for a matchup between teams sitting at 2-1, with the simulation favoring the Tigers slightly. The game projects as a near-toss, turning on whether either offense can consistently execute in a contest expected to stay tight throughout. AccuScore's model leans Missouri, though history on games shaped this way offers only modest confidence—in similar spots over recent seasons, the favored side won 57% of the time. For Marquette to pull off the upset at home, the Golden Eagles would need to contain Missouri's perimeter threats and force a lower-scoring affair than the simulation suggests.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadMIZ -1.5
29.50.75-28
MIZ Cover
49.8%
no odds at this line
MARQ Cover
50.2%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 154
113.5157.75202
Over Cover
44.1%
EV -6.7%
-110Fanatics ↗
Under Cover
53.5%
EV +2.3%
-110Fanatics ↗
Push 2.4% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

48.9%MIZ
Tied 4.8%
MARQ46.3%
1st Half SpreadMIZ -0.5
200-20
MIZ Cover
48.9%
no odds at this line
MARQ Cover
51.1%
no odds at this line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 72.5
537393
Over Cover
49.8%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
50.2%
no odds at this line

Player Props

MARQ MIZ
Sort:

EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookMARQEVMIZEV
FanDuel ↗-110-4.8%-110+0.3%
Fanatics ↗-105-3.8%-115-0.7%
Polymarket ↗-135-8.8%-129-3.2%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Fanatics ↗154-110-6.7%-110+2.3%

Where to Bet

silver
MIZ ML+0.3% EV

Win probability: 52.7%

FanDuel
-110Bet →
Fanatics
-115Bet →
Polymarket
-129Bet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes Missouri 53% to beat Marquette (47%).

Projection updated Nov 14, 2:20 PM ET

Who will win Missouri vs Marquette?

AccuScore's simulation makes Missouri the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Marquette beat Missouri?

AccuScore's simulation gives Marquette a 47% chance of beating Missouri, against 53% for Missouri. Marquette are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Every Missouri vs Marquette meeting →Missouri predictions & record →Marquette predictions & record →

Season outlook

Missouri (2-1 so far) project to finish 19.2–12.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 68% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Marquette (2-1 so far) project to finish 20.8–11.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 72% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordConference titlePlayoffs
Missouri19.2–12.86%68%
Marquette20.8–11.212%72%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Missouri and Marquette come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

MissouriWLW
  • Nov 9vs SIU EdwardsvilleW 96–58
  • Nov 6at Saint LouisL 84–90
  • Nov 3vs Cleveland StateW 111–50

Missouri have won 2 of their last 3 (W-L-W, most recent first).

MarquetteLWW
  • Nov 11at MichiganL 70–84
  • Nov 6vs Detroit MercyW 93–32
  • Nov 2vs MercyhurstW 78–43

Marquette have won 2 of their last 3 (L-W-W, most recent first).