Norfolk State
2-2
Georgia State
1-3
Win Probability
Norfolk State travels to face Georgia State in a matchup the simulation favours decisively for the home side. Across eight comparable games where the model leaned this strongly, the favoured team won all eight. Georgia State's scoring will likely determine the outcome; if Norfolk State can keep the Spartans below their projected total, the visitors have a puncher's chance despite entering as clear underdogs. The simulation projects a relatively low-scoring affair, with a 48% probability the combined score clears the market's total. Norfolk State would need to win the turnover battle and limit Georgia State's efficiency to pull off the upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | GAST | EV | NORF | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -575 | -0.9% | +420 | -7.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -997 | -4.0% | +340 | -14.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 149.5 | -115 | +2.1% | -105 | -6.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | +0.6% | -110 | -5.1% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Georgia State 84% to beat Norfolk State (16%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Georgia State the more likely winner at 84%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Georgia State a 84% chance of beating Norfolk State, against 16% for Norfolk State. Georgia State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Norfolk State (0-2 so far) project to finish 7.9–20.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Georgia State (0-3 so far) project to finish 11.0–18.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norfolk State | 7.9–20.1 | 6% | 5% |
| Georgia State | 11.0–18.0 | 2% | 2% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Norfolk State and Georgia State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Norfolk State have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Georgia State have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).