Quinnipiac
2-2
Central Connecticut
2-2
Win Probability
Quinnipiac travels to face Central Connecticut in an even matchup between evenly matched teams, but the simulation clearly favours the visitors. In 50,000 simulations, Quinnipiac's depth at guard showed through consistently, with floor general Marcus Zegarowski projected to exceed 5.2 assists in 64% of outcomes and scorer Tyson Walker reaching 16 points or more in 61% of them. Central Connecticut's path to an upset runs through offensive efficiency; the simulation expects a low-scoring affair where possessions matter more than pace. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's favoured side has won 68% of the time across 2,212 graded matchups. CCSU would need to turn defence into points and keep Quinnipiac's backcourt off rhythm to pull the upset at home.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | CCSU | EV | QUIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | +160 | +1.0% | -195 | -4.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -247 | -22.5% | -351 | -10.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 140.5 | -110 | +5.5% | -110 | -10.0% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 140.5 | -110 | +5.5% | -110 | -10.0% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Quinnipiac 61% to beat Central Connecticut (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Quinnipiac the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Central Connecticut a 39% chance of beating Quinnipiac, against 61% for Quinnipiac. Central Connecticut are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Quinnipiac (2-2 so far) project to finish 16.5–13.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Central Connecticut (2-2 so far) project to finish 12.4–14.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac | 16.5–13.5 | 16% | 12% |
| Central Connecticut | 12.4–14.6 | 13% | 19% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Quinnipiac and Central Connecticut come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Quinnipiac have won 2 of their last 4 (L-W-W-L, most recent first).
Central Connecticut have won 2 of their last 4 (W-W-L-L, most recent first).