NCAAB
Dartmouth
3-1
Boston University
3-1
Win Probability
Dartmouth travels to Boston University in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the host Terriers. The model's projection hinges on three-point shooting: Dartmouth's leading scorer has a 62% chance to exceed 18 points, while Boston University's top perimeter threat projects a 58% chance above 17. In games where AccuScore favored one side this strongly across similar circumstances, that side won 57% of the time. For the Big Green to pull the upset, they would need to limit three-point attempts and force Boston University into an inefficient night from distance.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | BU | EV | DART | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -155 | -0.7% | +130 | -3.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -10969 | -19.8% | -351 | -24.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 144.5 | -115 | +8.4% | -105 | -13.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 145 | -110 | +8.7% | -110 | -13.1% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Boston University 60% to beat Dartmouth (40%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston University the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Boston University a 60% chance of beating Dartmouth, against 40% for Dartmouth. Boston University are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Dartmouth (2-1 so far) project to finish 12.4–12.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Boston University (2-1 so far) project to finish 16.3–13.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 14% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dartmouth | 12.4–12.6 | 10% | 9% |
| Boston University | 16.3–13.7 | 17% | 14% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Dartmouth and Boston University come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Dartmouth have won 2 of their last 3 (W-L-W, most recent first).
Boston University have won 2 of their last 3 (L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 2 times since 2018: Dartmouth 2, Boston University 0. The last meeting, on Dec 13, 2025, finished Boston University 64, Dartmouth 77.