NCAAB
New Hampshire
3-1
Boston College
3-0
Win Probability
New Hampshire travels to face Boston College in a matchup where the simulation strongly favors the home side. The Wildcats enter at 3-1 while the Eagles sit undefeated at 3-0, but AccuScore's model projects a decisive outcome in Boston College's favor. New Hampshire will need to find scoring opportunities—the simulation gives their offense just a 48% chance of pushing the combined total over the market line—while Boston College's defense will aim to maintain the kind of dominance that the model anticipates. In games where AccuScore has leaned this heavily toward one side, that side won 97% of the time across 655 graded contests. For the Wildcats to pull the upset, they would need to exceed their projected offensive output significantly and force Boston College into an uncharacteristically low-scoring performance.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | BC | EV | UNH | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -7000 | -1.7% | +2500 | +12.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 133.5 | -115 | +0.6% | -105 | -5.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 134 | -110 | +0.4% | -110 | -4.8% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Boston College 95% to beat New Hampshire (5%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston College the more likely winner at 95%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Boston College a 95% chance of beating New Hampshire, against 5% for New Hampshire. Boston College are at home and favoured on these numbers.
New Hampshire (2-1 so far) project to finish 14.6–16.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Boston College (3-0 so far) project to finish 17.1–14.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 18% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Hampshire | 14.6–16.4 | 10% | 9% |
| Boston College | 17.1–14.9 | 1% | 18% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How New Hampshire and Boston College come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
New Hampshire have won 2 of their last 3 (L-W-W, most recent first).
Boston College have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).