South Carolina State
3-1
Charleston
3-0
Win Probability
South Carolina State travels to face Charleston in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. Over 50,000 simulations, Charleston's offensive firepower has created a decisive lean toward the Cougars, whose model projects a 20-point margin. On games shaped this way, AccuScore's pick has won 97% of 655 graded contests, a track record built on the ability of heavily favored home teams to convert their advantages. The game hinges on whether South Carolina State can generate enough offensive production to stay close; the Bulldogs would need a breakout performance and a lower overall combined score than the model expects to pull off the upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | COFC | EV | SCST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -10000 | -2.0% | +3000 | +27.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 159.5 | -110 | -4.4% | -110 | -0.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 159.5 | -110 | -4.4% | -110 | -0.2% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Charleston 95% to beat South Carolina State (5%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Charleston the more likely winner at 95%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Charleston a 95% chance of beating South Carolina State, against 5% for South Carolina State. Charleston are at home and favoured on these numbers.
South Carolina State (2-1 so far) project to finish 11.2–16.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Charleston (1-0 so far) project to finish 17.9–10.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 18% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina State | 11.2–16.8 | 11% | 9% |
| Charleston | 17.9–10.1 | 21% | 18% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How South Carolina State and Charleston come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
South Carolina State have won 2 of their last 3 (L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2025: South Carolina State 0, Charleston 1. The last meeting, on Nov 13, 2025, finished South Carolina State 61, Charleston 88.