William & Mary
2-1
#20Michigan
2-1
Win Probability
William & Mary travels to face Michigan in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the host. AccuScore's model has leaned this heavily toward one side in 655 graded games and been right 97% of the time. The Wolverines project to a comfortable margin, though William & Mary's path to an upset runs through offensive execution: the visiting team needs significant scoring volume, with their projected output sitting well below what would be required to stay competitive. Across eight statistically similar games, the favored side won all eight. For the Colonial Athletics to pull off the result, they would need to breach Michigan's efficiency markedly and run at a pace that generates far more possessions than the model anticipates.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | MICH | EV | W&M | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -50000 | -0.4% | +7000 | -14.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 165.5 | -110 | +2.4% | -110 | -6.9% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 166.5 | -110 | +0.1% | -110 | -4.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 166 | -110 | +1.3% | -110 | -5.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 165.5 | -10969 | -22.3% | -116 | -8.0% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Michigan 99% to beat William & Mary (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Michigan the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Michigan a 99% chance of beating William & Mary, against 1% for William & Mary. Michigan are at home and favoured on these numbers.
William & Mary (1-1 so far) project to finish 12.7–16.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Michigan (2-1 so far) project to finish 22.3–7.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 96% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary | 12.7–16.3 | 5% | 5% |
| Michigan | 22.3–7.7 | 18% | 96% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How William & Mary and Michigan come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
William & Mary have won 1 of their last 2 (L-W, most recent first).
Michigan have won 2 of their last 3 (W-L-W, most recent first).