UAlbany
2-2
Holy Cross
0-3
Win Probability
UAlbany travels to face Holy Cross in a matchup where the simulation leans toward the visiting Great Danes. The game hinges on whether either team can sustain offensive execution in a contest projected to finish as a near-tie. Holy Cross has struggled to 0-3, while UAlbany enters at 2-2, and AccuScore's model favours the visitor in a close affair. In games where the simulation has favoured one side this moderately, that side won 57% of the time across 6,747 graded contests. For Holy Cross to pull the upset at home, its defence would need to force enough stops to keep UAlbany from reaching the low 70s.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | HC | EV | UALB | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -897 | -26.8% | -997 | -17.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | -2.8% | -105 | -1.7% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes UAlbany 58% to beat Holy Cross (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes UAlbany the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Holy Cross a 42% chance of beating UAlbany, against 58% for UAlbany. Holy Cross are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
UAlbany (1-2 so far) project to finish 11.1–19.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Holy Cross (0-3 so far) project to finish 8.0–22.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAlbany | 11.1–19.9 | 4% | 3% |
| Holy Cross | 8.0–22.0 | 2% | 2% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How UAlbany and Holy Cross come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
UAlbany have won 1 of their last 3 (L-L-W, most recent first).
Holy Cross have won 0 of their last 3 (L-L-L, most recent first).