NCAAB
Princeton
3-1
Rhode Island
4-0
Win Probability
Rhode Island hosts Princeton in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the Rams. AccuScore projects a low-scoring affair that turns on three-point shooting; the model's side won 92% of 811 games shaped this strongly. Princeton's defence will need to contain Rhode Island's perimeter threats, but the visitors face a steeper challenge on the road: in eight statistically similar games across other matchups, the favored team went 8–0. For Princeton to pull the upset, their guards must generate consistent offensive rhythm against a Rhode Island defence built to disrupt it.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | URI | EV | PRIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -897 | -5.2% | -181 | -34.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 139.5 | -110 | -7.2% | -110 | +2.7% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Rhode Island 81% to beat Princeton (19%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Rhode Island the more likely winner at 81%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Rhode Island a 81% chance of beating Princeton, against 19% for Princeton. Rhode Island are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Princeton (2-1 so far) project to finish 12.8–14.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Rhode Island (4-0 so far) project to finish 18.4–11.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 10% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Princeton | 12.8–14.2 | 13% | 11% |
| Rhode Island | 18.4–11.6 | 4% | 10% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Princeton and Rhode Island come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Princeton have won 2 of their last 3 (W-L-W, most recent first).
Rhode Island have won 3 of their last 3 (W-W-W, most recent first).