Cleveland State
2-2
Alabama A&M
3-1
Win Probability
Alabama A&M hosts Cleveland State in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the home side. The deciding factor is pace and efficiency: with a projected combined score near 154, this game hinges on whether either team can impose its tempo while limiting the other's scoring opportunities. In similar spots across eight comparable games, the favoured side won 50% of the time, a reminder that strong leans can still come undone. For Cleveland State to pull the upset, it would need to either slow the game significantly or find unexpected shooting from its perimeter, forcing Alabama A&M into an uncharacteristically poor night from deep.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | AAMU | EV | CLE | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -150 | +2.6% | +125 | -8.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -417 | -10.9% | -181 | -21.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 150.5 | -115 | +3.1% | -105 | -7.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 151 | -110 | +3.1% | -110 | -7.5% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Alabama A&M 63% to beat Cleveland State (37%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Alabama A&M the more likely winner at 63%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Alabama A&M a 63% chance of beating Cleveland State, against 37% for Cleveland State. Alabama A&M are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Cleveland State (1-2 so far) project to finish 7.7–20.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Alabama A&M (1-1 so far) project to finish 13.6–14.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland State | 7.7–20.3 | <1% | 1% |
| Alabama A&M | 13.6–14.4 | 14% | 12% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Cleveland State and Alabama A&M come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Cleveland State have won 1 of their last 3 (W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2023: Cleveland State 1, Alabama A&M 0. The last meeting, on Nov 24, 2023, finished Alabama A&M 59, Cleveland State 86.