Purdue Fort Wayne
1-2
Eastern Illinois
1-3
Win Probability
Purdue Fort Wayne travels to face Eastern Illinois in a matchup the simulation leans toward the visitors. The model ran 50,000 simulations and projects a close game decided by offensive efficiency in the final minutes. On games shaped like this one statistically, AccuScore's favored side won 57% of the time across 6,747 graded contests. Eastern Illinois would need to limit Purdue Fort Wayne's scoring chances and convert at a higher rate themselves to upset the projection. The margin figures to come down to which team executes better in the second half when fatigue sets in.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | EIU | EV | PFW | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | +140 | +0.0% | -170 | -3.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +115 | -5.2% | -236 | -8.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 146.5 | -115 | -3.6% | -105 | -0.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 147 | -110 | -3.8% | -110 | -0.6% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Purdue Fort Wayne 58% to beat Eastern Illinois (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Purdue Fort Wayne the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Eastern Illinois a 42% chance of beating Purdue Fort Wayne, against 58% for Purdue Fort Wayne. Eastern Illinois are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Purdue Fort Wayne (0-2 so far) project to finish 10.9–18.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Eastern Illinois (0-3 so far) project to finish 9.6–18.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Fort Wayne | 10.9–18.1 | 3% | 3% |
| Eastern Illinois | 9.6–18.4 | 4% | 4% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Purdue Fort Wayne and Eastern Illinois come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Purdue Fort Wayne have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Eastern Illinois have won 0 of their last 3 (L-L-L, most recent first).