NCAAB
Chicago State
2-3
Loyola Marymount
1-3
Win Probability
Chicago State visits Loyola Marymount in a matchup heavily favoured toward the home side. Zion Sensley of Loyola Marymount has a 48% chance of exceeding 27 points, rebounds and assists, while his teammate Jevon Porter sits at 50% to surpass 19 combined. The visiting Demons will lean on K. Foman, who has a 47% chance to beat 17 combined, but Chicago State enters as significant underdogs. AccuScore's model has backed the favoured side in games shaped like this at a 97% clip across its record. For the visitors to pull the upset, their shooting would need to hold up and Loyola Marymount's depth would have to underperform its projections.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | LMU | EV | CHST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -10969 | -4.5% | -160 | -42.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 141.5 | -115 | +2.2% | -105 | -6.9% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Loyola Marymount 90% to beat Chicago State (10%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Loyola Marymount the more likely winner at 90%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Loyola Marymount a 90% chance of beating Chicago State, against 10% for Chicago State. Loyola Marymount are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Chicago State (2-3 so far) project to finish 9.5–22.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Loyola Marymount (0-3 so far) project to finish 12.2–18.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago State | 9.5–22.5 | 5% | 7% |
| Loyola Marymount | 12.2–18.8 | 1% | 2% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Chicago State and Loyola Marymount come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Chicago State have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first).
Loyola Marymount have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).