Western Michigan
3-1
Southern Indiana
1-3
Win Probability
Western Michigan travels to face Southern Indiana in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the Broncos. The game hinges on perimeter shooting: Western Michigan's Javon Bennett has a 58% chance to exceed his three-point projection, while Southern Indiana's Jaylen Randle sits at 49% to clear his mark from distance. On games shaped this way, the favoured side won 68% of the time across 2,212 graded contests. For the Screaming Eagles to pull the upset at home, they would need to neutralise Bennett's outside threat while catching fire themselves from beyond the arc.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | USI | EV | WMU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -110 | -16.4% | -2659 | -16.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 141.5 | -110 | -0.7% | -110 | -3.8% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Western Michigan 65% to beat Southern Indiana (35%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Western Michigan the more likely winner at 65%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Southern Indiana a 35% chance of beating Western Michigan, against 65% for Western Michigan. Southern Indiana are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Western Michigan (2-1 so far) project to finish 13.3–14.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Southern Indiana (0-3 so far) project to finish 10.5–16.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 7% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | 13.3–14.7 | 5% | 4% |
| Southern Indiana | 10.5–16.5 | 8% | 7% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Western Michigan and Southern Indiana come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Western Michigan have won 2 of their last 3 (W-W-L, most recent first).
Southern Indiana have won 0 of their last 3 (L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2025: Western Michigan 1, Southern Indiana 0. The last meeting, on Dec 2, 2025, finished Southern Indiana 74, Western Michigan 88.