Syracuse
2-1
#13St. John's
3-0
Win Probability
Syracuse travels to face St. John's in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the home team. The Red Storm arrive at 2-1 while the Johnnies remain undefeated at 3-0, and AccuScore's model leans heavily toward St. John's controlling this game. Syracuse's offence will need to generate consistent scoring—the simulation projects the visitor around 70 points—while St. John's should eclipse 82 in a game that hinges on whether Syracuse can keep pace in a track that favours the home side's depth. On games shaped this way, AccuScore's favoured side has won 92% of its last 811 graded matchups. For Syracuse to pull the upset, the Red Storm would need to force turnovers early and keep St. John's from building the lead the simulation expects.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | SJU | EV | SYR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -1050 | -2.9% | +660 | +3.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | -1000 | -2.7% | +650 | +2.5% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -700 | -0.9% | +450 | -11.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -800 | -1.6% | +550 | -4.5% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -910 | -2.3% | +525 | -6.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | +2.3% | -110 | -6.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 149.5 | -115 | +3.7% | -105 | -8.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 149.5 | -115 | +3.7% | -105 | -8.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 150.5 | -115 | +1.2% | -105 | -5.9% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 150.5 | -110 | +2.3% | -110 | -6.9% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes St. John's 86% to beat Syracuse (14%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes St. John's the more likely winner at 86%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives St. John's a 86% chance of beating Syracuse, against 14% for Syracuse. St. John's are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Syracuse (2-1 so far) project to finish 18.4–13.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 31% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
St. John's (3-0 so far) project to finish 23.2–6.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 92% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse | 18.4–13.6 | 2% | 31% |
| St. John's | 23.2–6.8 | 31% | 92% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Syracuse and St. John's come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Syracuse have won 2 of their last 3 (L-W-W, most recent first).
St. John's have won 3 of their last 3 (W-W-W, most recent first).