Arkansas-Pine Bluff
0-4
#21USC
3-0
Win Probability
Arkansas-Pine Bluff visits USC as a winless team facing a perfect home squad, and the simulation favours the Trojans decisively. Over 50,000 runs, USC's defensive and offensive depth proved overwhelming; the model's strongest leans have won 97% of the time across 658 graded games. The game turns on whether Arkansas-Pine Bluff can generate enough perimeter shooting to keep pace—a tall task given USC's projected output. For the Golden Lions to stay competitive, they would need a historic shooting night and USC to fall well short of its simulated ceiling.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | Line | USC | EV | UAPB | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -42 | -105 | -12.4% | -115 | +7.6% |
| Book | USC | EV | UAPB | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -100000 | +0.0% | +70000 | -50.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | 158.5 | -110 | -3.0% | -110 | -1.5% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes USC 100% to beat Arkansas-Pine Bluff (0%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes USC the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives USC a 100% chance of beating Arkansas-Pine Bluff, against 0% for Arkansas-Pine Bluff. USC are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (0-4 so far) project to finish 7.1–21.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
USC (3-0 so far) project to finish 17.6–14.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 40% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 7.1–21.9 | 2% | 2% |
| USC | 17.6–14.4 | 1% | 40% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Arkansas-Pine Bluff and USC come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff have won 0 of their last 4 (L-L-L-L, most recent first).
USC have won 3 of their last 3 (W-W-W, most recent first).